Rising insurance costs could force apartment sales, threaten new development
As rents have moderated, apartment owners have been hit with many cost increases over the last year. Property taxes have gone up. Utility and labor costs have jumped. And that doesn’t take into account the potential millions of extra dollars needed to pay debt service for floating-rate loans.
Add on insurance costs that have jumped more than 100% in some states, and owning an apartment building could suddenly become unsustainable.
“I have clients calling me saying they have to close up shop if insurance pricing continues on this road,” said Danielle Lombardo, chair of the Global Real Estate Practice at Kansas City, Missouri–based insurance brokerage firm Lockton. “They can’t do business like this. They can’t make deals pencil out and they can’t pay debt service between insurance costs, variable rate debt and property taxes. There is just so much that’s causing pain.”
With those compounding problems, some owners could be forced to hand back the keys to their properties to the bank. But, more likely, many will be forced to sell, even though that isn’t a simple solution. Insurance price hikes also make underwriting for transactions — and even new development — much more difficult.
Forcing sales
Venkat Avasarala, founder of Dallas-based Stryker Properties, sold 3,100 units of mostly older properties in September 2021. Yet he’s still active at industry conferences and searching for new deals.
Recently, he met a Class C owner in Houston who saw annual insurance rates jump from $800 a unit to $2,200. “It tripled,” he said. “Can I triple my rent? No. So that is why these properties go insolvent, and you are forced to give the keys back to the bank. Every little thing contributes.”
But that may happen in only the most dire scenarios. In many cases, owners stretched thin by premium increases may have other options, even if they aren’t necessarily palatable.
“I don’t think you’re going to see properties close down, but what I do think you’re going to see is that we’ll put more pressure on people to sell,” said Ric Campo, CEO of Houston-based apartment REIT Camden on the company’s recent earnings call.
Development deals die
Developers underwriting new deals right now have a different concern. With materials, labor and land costs remaining high and financing costs rising, it’s already harder to make new development pencil out.
Add in higher insurance costs and suddenly it’s nearly impossible to make a deal work.
To read the complete article, visit Smart Cities Dive.